lian xi ren:jinmingwei
jieqiadelvfeng:010-68576852
yingyezhengxun:(shihou:9:00-17:00)
jieqiaren:zhangyanfang
jieqiadelvfeng:010-68066858
在线 征询:
×9yue18rixiazhanshu,guodugaoduanzhikufuzhishidiandanyuanzhongguomeiyoutuantijingjishouyiyantaoyuan2018ban《2050niantianxiayuzhongguodonglizhanwang》(yixiajiancheng《donglizhanwang》),zaibeijingzhengshiduiwaixuanbu。baogaoyiwei,woguodonglichengzhangyijinruxindehanqingqijian,xinjiudongnengyanxuzhuanhuan;zaixuyaoduan,donglihuafeizhongxinmanmancongchuchancezhuanxianghukouhuafeice;zaigongjiduan,jiejingdonglijiangzhizuxinzengdonglixuyaobingmanmantihuangaotanchuantongdongli。woguoyicidonglixuyaojiangyu2035~2040nianjianjinrufengzhipingtaiqi,donglibujubushiyouhua,meitan、youqihefeihuashidonglijiangmanmanshanxiansanzudingzhitaishi,donglixiangganeryanghuatanpaifangjiangzai2030nianqiandafeng。
zhongguomeiyoutuantidasuandasuanbufuzongsilizhangpinxianzaizhicizhongzhichu,donglizhuanxingshijushisuoqu,zongdebiaodemudeshijiabeijiejing、jiabeiditan、jiabeibianli、benqiangengdi。wanchengzhuanxingdetujingbuzhiyitiao,danzaidaodahuayihuanbaochengguohebianlichengdudetiaojianxia,benqiangengdishiqijiaodian。zhanwangshiduiweilainenggouqingxingdepanding,jingyanyuanshicongmeiyourendeshijiaokandonglizhuanxing,chongshizhenzhuomeiyoukanchakaipijizhuanhuacaozongshouyideqianjinduidonglizhuanxingdeyingxiang。zhongguozaitianxiadonglihuafeihechuchanzhongjuyouwuzuqingzhongdeweizhi,zhongguodonglihuafeizengsuhebujuxingbiangengbijiangduitianxiadonglichengzhangguijifashengjiaodayingxiang。
zhongguomeiyoujingjishouyiyantaoyuanfuyuanzhangjiangxuefenggaozhijizhe,zuoweiguodugaoduanzhikufuzhishidiandanyuanhezhongguomeiyouderuanmixinyantaobufen,jingjishouyiyantaoyuanduonianlaiyanxuzhankaizhongchijiudonglichengzhangyantao,cong2016nianqitouzhuanxiexuanbu《tianxiayuzhongguodonglizhanwang》,sannianlaizaiguojiwaiyinfapubiancunjuan,yugaiyuanmeiyinianniantouxuanbuchushude《guojiwaiyouqixingyechengzhangbaogao》bicizhaoying,chanfayanpanguojiwaidonglichengzhangqingshi,weicunjuandonglichengzhangdegejierenshigongjiyantaocankao。
tatongshichanfazhichu,cihouyigeqijian,shiwoguodonglixianglvsedonglizhuanxingdeguoduqi,shunyingxinshiqiwoguojingjixianggaopindechengzhangqingqiu,donglichengzhangyejiangjiasujinruxinjiudongnengzhuanhuanqi,donglihuafeizhongxinyoushouyaochuchanyongnengxuyaoxiangjiabeizhongshizhizuhukouhuafei、qianjinhukouchengdugaibian,zhizuquanbuguominduikuajiaohukoudexuyao,zhongduanbufenyongnengyebushizhuanxianggenggaopindedongli;zaidongligongjifangmian,shouyiqianjinbiancejiejingdonglichengzhanghechuantongdonglijiejinggaoxiaocaozong,jiejingdonglijiangzhizuxinzengyongnengxuyaobingduichuantonggaotandongligouchengtihuan。danyuanjingjishouyiyantaoyuandezheifenzhanwangbaogaonengweiyejiegongjiyigesilvdekuangjia,mixindiduidaichengzhanglichengzhongdegezhongbukendingxing,jinlitanfangcizhongdekendingxingquxiang。
xuanbuhuishang,zhongguomeiyoujingjishouyiyantaoyuanmeiyoushichangyantaosuozhurengongchengshiwangliningboshidaibiaoyantaotuanduifenxiangleshouyaoyantaogongxiao。taxianrongshuo,zaibenniandebaogaozhong,jingyouguochengjizhunqingxingheqianghuazhengceqingxingjieshiletianxiayuzhongguodonglinenggoudechengzhanglicheng,chabieqingxingdechengguoqujueyushehuijingjichengzhangxingshi、shouyibiangenglidu、donglizhengceruohenidingjiqiduodachengduchanyangganhuadeng。yihouhuanqiuyiranyou10yirenbuyongshangdian,huojixuyaoxiaomidonglipinku,jinshenghukoupinde,caichanhua、chengzhenhuadejisuchengzhangchengweihuanqiudonglizengtianxindeyinqing。huanqiudonglishanxianduoyuan、jiejing、ditan、ningjing、gaoxiao、zhinengdechengzhangtedian。genzhewoguohuafeizhuanxingjinjijiguominhukouchengdujinsheng,duidongligongjideningjingxinghebubianxing、jiaqiandeheganxing、shengtaihuanbaodeyouaixingdengqingqiujiangyulaiyugao。zheijiangbiancewoguodonglixitongdepindehexiaoyibushijinsheng。yantaoyiwei,woguodongliqiangdujiangwenbujiangluo、renjundonglihuafeichengdubushijinsheng,donglibujuyanxuyouhua,2050nianwoguoyicidonglihuafeibujugenjishanxianmeitan、youqihefeihuashidonglisanfentianxiadekuanshi。
guodudonglijuyuanfujuzhangzhangyuqing、guoduyingdatianqibiangengjimouyantaoheguojixiezuozhongjianyuanzhurenlijunfeng、guodudianwangdongliyantaoyuanfuyuanzhangjiangliping、zhongguoshihuajingjishouyiyantaoyuanfuyuanzhangyujiaohezhongguomeiyoutuantidasuandasuanbufuzongjingjishizhuxingshanduibaogaotingzhilechusedianping。
《天下与中国动力瞻望》报告焦点判定:
天下动力在基准情形下将闪现——
1.shoujingjiheshengchizengtianbiance,2050nianqiantianxiayicidonglixuyaojiangyanxuzengtian,jieshida182yidunbiaoyou,nianjunzengsu0.9%。
2.tianxiadonglijiasuxiangduoyuanhua、jiejinghua、ditanhuazhuanxing,2050nianjiejingdonglizhanbisuanjida54%。
3.youzuoweishouyaodejiaotongranliaohehuagongzhiliao,weilaijiangyanxuzengtian,danzengsumanmanfanghuanbingjiangyu2035nianluohourufengzhipingtaiqi(51yidun)。
4.ziranqijubeijiejingditan、zibenfengshuo、liyongbianlidengtedian,zaidonglizhuanxingzhongbiaoyanshouyaojiaose,qixuyaojiangyanxuzengtian,2050nianda5.5wanyilifangmi,nianjunzengsu1.3%。
5.zhongdonghebeimeijiangshiweilaiyouqigongjideshouyaozengtiandian,liangdiyuanyouchanliangzengliangzhanhuanqiuzongzengliangde85%,ziranqizhan41.8%。
6.tianxiadianlixuyaojiangyanxuzengtian,2050nianchengdujiangjiao2015nianfanyifan,cizhongfadianzengliangde72%weilaizifeihuashidonglifadian。
中国动力在基准情形下将闪现--
1.zhongguoyicidonglixuyaojiangyu2035-2040nianjianjinrufengzhipingtaiqi,yuewei56yidunbiaomei(39.1yidunbiaoyou)。yindonglibujuyouhualichengjiaokuai,yudonglixiangganeryanghuatanpaifangjiangzai2030nianqiandafeng。
2.zhongguodonglihuafeibujushanxianxiangjiejing、ditan、duoyuanhuagaibiantedian,jiejingdongli(feihuashidongliyuziranqi)jiangzhizuzengliangxuyaobingyouhuacunliang,2050niangenjigouchengmeitan、youqihefeihuashidonglisanfentianxiadekuanshi。
3.2030nianqian,meiyouxuyaoyinjiaotongyongyoujihuagongzhiliaozengtianrengjianchizengtian,2030nianjiangda7yidunbaibudefengzhichengdu。
4.2040nianqianziranqihuafeijiangchuyuhuangjinchengchijiu,gexingyexuyaojunjiangbushizengtian,2035nianhe2050nianbielida6200yilifangmihe7000yilifangmibaibu。
5.2030nianqianzhongguoyuanyouchanliangkebaochizai2yidunbaibu;ziranqichanliangjiangwenbuzengtian,2035nianhe2050nianbielida3000yilifangmihe3500yilifangmibaibu。
6.zhongguofadianzengliangshouyaoyoufeihuashidonglijinxian,zhanzhanwangqineifadianzongzengliangde86.4%;2050nianfeihuashidonglifadianzhanbijiangkuayue55%。
zaiqianghuazhengceqingxingxia,caichan、xiujianhejiaotongdengzhongduanbufenyongnengjiangjunjiaojizhunqingxingyoujiaozhexiahua,zhongduanyongnengxuyaojianggengzaojinrufengzhipingtaiqi;zhongduanbufendianqihuachengdujiangjisujinsheng,2050niankaojin50%;feihuashifadianzhanbijisujinsheng,2050nianjiangda85%;yicidonglijiangjiabeigaoxiao、jiejingheditan;donglixianggantanpaifangyegengzaodafeng,bingjisuhuiluo,2050nianjiao2015nianchengdujiangluo60%。